AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, June 4

Hershey Bears at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Hershey Bears
6:2
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

HERCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
3.72.4
High danger
71
Chances
1510
Shots
3029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal29
15Scoring chances10
7High-danger chances1
3.70Expected goals2.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–74–11–00.9–0.4
2nd15–99–55–02.3–0.9
3rd5–132–41–10.5–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.36
GSAx
+0.36
Jet Greaves
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
3.24
GSAx
-1.76
Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
5
Saves
4
Allowed
1
xGA
0.45
GSAx
-0.55

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:55Penalty
  • 1st 10:27Penalty
  • 1st 12:43Jimmy Huntington (1–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 17:03Penalty
  • 2nd 2:46Penalty
  • 2nd 4:49Penalty
  • 2nd 4:49Penalty
  • 2nd 4:49Penalty
  • 2nd 5:45Ethen Frank (2–0)5v4 · high · 31 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 6:55Alex Whelan (2–1)medium · 29 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 11:41Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Trey Fix-Wolansky (2–2)5v4 · medium · 54 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 17:14Alex Limoges (3–2)low · 29 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 18:23Ivan Miroshnichenko (4–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 18:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Joe Snively (5–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 61 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 6:11Penalty
  • 3rd 9:24Penalty
  • 3rd 15:54Henrik Rybinski (6–2)empty net · medium · 16 ft · beat Malcolm Subban