AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, June 6

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Coachella Valley Firebirds
2:7
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

CVMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
1.83.3
High danger
15
Chances
513
Shots
2533

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal33
5Scoring chances13
1High-danger chances5
1.85Expected goals3.34

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–103–31–01.0–0.7
2nd7–121–60–30.4–1.3
3rd6–111–40–20.5–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Chris Driedger
Shots faced
33
Saves
26
Allowed
7
xGA
3.34
GSAx
-3.66
Troy Grosenick
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
1.85
GSAx
-0.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:26Wade Allison (0–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 1st 11:39Connor Carrick (1–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 1st 17:04Joakim Kemell (1–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 1st 18:22Logan Morrison (2–2)high · 11 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 2nd 7:17Penalty
  • 2nd 11:14Penalty
  • 2nd 12:44Fedor Svechkov (2–3)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 13:57Penalty
  • 2nd 19:17Zach L’Heureux (2–4)low · 25 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 19:35Penalty
  • 3rd 2:43Penalty
  • 3rd 5:35Penalty
  • 3rd 5:35Penalty
  • 3rd 13:11Phil Tomasino (2–5)grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 15:03Roland McKeown (2–6)empty net · low · 169 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 17:07Penalty
  • 3rd 17:42Penalty
  • 3rd 18:03Penalty
  • 3rd 18:03Fedor Svechkov (2–7)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty