AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, June 8

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Coachella Valley Firebirds
5:1
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

CVMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
69%31%
xG
2.52.5
High danger
51
Chances
127
Shots
2133

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal33
12Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances1
2.52Expected goals2.52

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–75–12–01.2–0.4
2nd8–146–33–01.2–1.0
3rd2–121–30–10.2–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Chris Driedger
Shots faced
33
Saves
32
Allowed
1
xGA
2.52
GSAx
+1.52
Troy Grosenick
Shots faced
21
Saves
16
Allowed
5
xGA
2.52
GSAx
-2.48

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:09Penalty
  • 1st 2:33John Hayden (1–0)low · 46 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 1st 6:28Penalty
  • 1st 9:14Jimmy Schuldt (2–0)high · rebound · 31 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 1st 15:17Penalty
  • 1st 17:04John Hayden (3–0)5v4 · medium · 40 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 1st 18:37Penalty
  • 1st 19:17Devin Shore (4–0)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 2nd 6:26Penalty
  • 2nd 8:24Joakim Kemell (4–1)5v4 · medium · 60 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 13:19Penalty
  • 2nd 13:19Penalty
  • 2nd 13:19Penalty
  • 2nd 16:19Penalty
  • 2nd 18:03John Hayden (5–1)4v5 · medium · 28 ft · beat Troy Grosenick