Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch

5:0

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

87%13%

xG: 3.31.6
High danger: 71
Chances: 135
Shots: 2626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal26

13Scoring chances5

7High-danger chances1

3.35Expected goals1.61

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–13	4–2	3–1	1.2–0.9
2nd	6–2	4–0	1–0	0.9–0.0
3rd	9–11	5–3	3–0	1.3–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 26
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.61
GSAx: +1.61

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 12
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.90
GSAx: -2.10

Isaac Poulter

Shots faced: 10
Saves: 9
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.44
GSAx: +0.44

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:51Dyllan Gill (1–0)low · 59 ft · beat Nico Daws
1st 10:57Niko Huuhtanen (2–0)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Nico Daws
1st 11:27Penalty
1st 17:45Penalty
2nd 4:06Dylan Duke (3–0)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 5:49Penalty
2nd 5:49Penalty
2nd 8:00Maxim Groshev (4–0)medium · 25 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 10:56Penalty
2nd 14:59Penalty
2nd 14:59Penalty
2nd 16:54Penalty
3rd 8:01Penalty
3rd 8:01Penalty
3rd 13:25Penalty
3rd 13:25Penalty
3rd 15:07Dyllan Gill (5–0)grade A · rebound · 17 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
3rd 18:05Penalty
3rd 18:05Penalty
3rd 18:51Penalty
3rd 18:51Penalty
3rd 18:51Penalty
3rd 18:51Penalty
3rd 19:26Penalty