AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 11

Henderson Silver Knights at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Henderson Silver Knights
3:4
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

HSKTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
4.42.6
High danger
96
Chances
1910
Shots
4022

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal22
19Scoring chances10
9High-danger chances6
4.42Expected goals2.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–106–33–31.0–0.9
2nd20–68–33–12.2–0.7
3rd13–65–43–21.2–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:514:08+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
40
Saves
37
Allowed
3
xGA
4.42
GSAx
+1.42
Akira Schmid
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.61
GSAx
-1.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:53Penalty
  • 1st 4:06Penalty
  • 1st 11:23Penalty
  • 1st 13:44Penalty
  • 1st 15:53Penalty
  • 1st 18:12Luke Krys (0–1)low · 46 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 18:32Alex Petrovic (0–2)low · 67 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 0:20Jonas Røndbjerg (1–2)grade A · rebound · 25 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 3:02Penalty
  • 2nd 4:49Penalty
  • 2nd 7:36Penalty
  • 2nd 8:58Penalty
  • 2nd 8:58Penalty
  • 2nd 8:58Penalty
  • 2nd 11:17Penalty
  • 2nd 12:25Penalty
  • 2nd 13:01Chase Wheatcroft (1–3)grade A · rebound · 29 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 19:19Penalty
  • 2nd 19:19Penalty
  • 2nd 19:50Penalty
  • 3rd 7:03Mitch McLain (2–3)low · 31 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 8:01Penalty
  • 3rd 9:15Matěj Blümel (2–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 11:49Penalty
  • 3rd 12:18Penalty
  • 3rd 13:13Jonas Røndbjerg (3–4)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 14:50Penalty