AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 12

Hartford Wolf Pack at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:4
Final / SO
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

HFDLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.75.5
High danger
511
Chances
1117
Shots
2548

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal48
11Scoring chances17
5High-danger chances11
2.67Expected goals5.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–112–10–10.4–0.7
2nd7–175–43–21.2–1.7
3rd7–174–112–80.8–2.8
OT3–30–10–00.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD116:56 of the 3rd3:041:59+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
48
Saves
45
Allowed
3
xGA
5.51
GSAx
+2.51
Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.67
GSAx
-0.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:30Penalty
  • 1st 9:37Penalty
  • 1st 17:18Penalty
  • 1st 17:56Penalty
  • 1st 17:56Brett Berard (1–0)5v4 · medium · 152 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 5:27Jacob Gaucher (1–1)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 6:30Penalty
  • 2nd 6:30Penalty
  • 2nd 8:56Penalty
  • 2nd 11:28Penalty
  • 2nd 12:06Samu Tuomaala (1–2)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 13:55Penalty
  • 2nd 13:55Penalty
  • 2nd 17:41Penalty
  • 2nd 18:15Penalty
  • 3rd 2:43Penalty
  • 3rd 5:05Anton Blidh (2–2)high · 12 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 5:48Penalty
  • 3rd 7:10Penalty
  • 3rd 7:20Anthony Richard (2–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 7:34Penalty
  • 3rd 7:56Penalty
  • 3rd 7:56Penalty
  • 3rd 8:02Penalty
  • 3rd 17:46Penalty
  • 3rd 18:55Casey Fitzgerald (3–3)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov