AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 12

Henderson Silver Knights at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Henderson Silver Knights
5:4
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

HSKTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.74.9
High danger
59
Chances
917
Shots
2747

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal47
9Scoring chances17
5High-danger chances9
2.66Expected goals4.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–162–41–30.8–1.6
2nd7–93–32–20.9–0.9
3rd10–224–102–41.0–2.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
47
Saves
43
Allowed
4
xGA
4.89
GSAx
+0.89
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
27
Saves
22
Allowed
5
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-2.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:41Penalty
  • 1st 2:58Penalty
  • 1st 3:49Robert Hägg (1–0)5v4 · medium · 6 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 5:08Penalty
  • 1st 7:26Penalty
  • 1st 10:31Christian Kyrou (1–1)low · 41 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 1st 11:43Christoffer Sedoff (2–1)low · 44 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 12:18Justin Hryckowian (2–2)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 1st 13:20Penalty
  • 1st 14:38Penalty
  • 2nd 0:48Tanner Laczynski (3–2)low · 31 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 2:07Matyas Sapovaliv (4–2)grade A · rebound · 26 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 8:42Penalty
  • 2nd 9:16Kyle McDonald (4–3)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 11:53Penalty
  • 2nd 14:28Tanner Laczynski (5–3)high · 21 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 10:32Kole Lind (5–4)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 16:56Penalty