AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 13

Cleveland Monsters at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Cleveland Monsters
6:3
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

CLEHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.22.4
High danger
43
Chances
811
Shots
2723

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal23
8Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances3
2.23Expected goals2.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–71–31–10.4–0.8
2nd11–45–23–01.3–0.3
3rd9–122–60–20.5–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HER−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HER30:00 of the 3rd20:0010:55+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
27
Saves
21
Allowed
6
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-3.77
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.44
GSAx
-0.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:11Roman Ahcan (1–0)high · rebound · 17 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 1st 9:21Penalty
  • 1st 14:49Penalty
  • 2nd 1:29Penalty
  • 2nd 6:09Trey Fix-Wolansky (2–0)medium · 23 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 6:20Penalty
  • 2nd 7:40Penalty
  • 2nd 8:10Penalty
  • 2nd 9:43Ivan Miroshnichenko (2–1)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 10:16Penalty
  • 2nd 14:43Penalty
  • 2nd 17:17Penalty
  • 2nd 18:27Luca Del Bel Belluz (3–1)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 19:59Luca Del Bel Belluz (4–1)high · 14 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 6:00Ivan Miroshnichenko (4–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 8:26Penalty
  • 3rd 8:26Penalty
  • 3rd 10:05Penalty
  • 3rd 10:42Penalty
  • 3rd 11:41Ivan Miroshnichenko (4–3)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 15:05James Malatesta (5–3)medium · 26 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 15:33Penalty
  • 3rd 19:08Penalty
  • 3rd 19:08Luca Del Bel Belluz (6–3)empty net · low · 76 ft · beat Clay Stevenson