Cleveland Monsters at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Cleveland Monsters

2:5

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

CLECLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

24%76%

xG: 2.13.3
High danger: 37
Chances: 912
Shots: 2431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal31

9Scoring chances12

3High-danger chances7

2.14Expected goals3.32

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–13	1–7	1–3	0.4–1.8
2nd	10–11	4–3	0–2	0.8–0.8
3rd	9–7	4–2	2–2	0.9–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 26
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.32
GSAx: -1.68

Chris Driedger

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 22
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.14
GSAx: +0.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:59Will Lockwood (0–1)low · 32 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
1st 2:39Penalty
1st 2:39Penalty
1st 8:57Joseph LaBate (1–1)high · 9 ft · beat Chris Driedger
1st 9:22Penalty
1st 10:15Aidan McDonough (1–2)5v4 · grade A · 3 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
1st 13:53Penalty
1st 15:08Aidan McDonough (1–3)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 3:51Penalty
2nd 6:05Oliver Okuliar (1–4)high · 9 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 14:31Sandis Vilmanis (1–5)low · 42 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 14:42Penalty
2nd 19:38Penalty
2nd 19:38Penalty
3rd 6:27Penalty
3rd 8:29James Malatesta (2–5)low · 10 ft · beat Chris Driedger
3rd 9:17Penalty
3rd 9:17Penalty
3rd 14:37Penalty
3rd 19:51Penalty