AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 18

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
6:5
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CVSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
69%31%
xG
3.02.6
High danger
53
Chances
116
Shots
2835

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal35
11Scoring chances6
5High-danger chances3
3.05Expected goals2.62

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–106–14–11.8–0.7
2nd10–65–11–01.1–0.4
3rd3–190–40–20.1–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
2.62
GSAx
-2.38
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
20
Saves
15
Allowed
5
xGA
2.26
GSAx
-2.74
Calle Clang
Shots faced
8
Saves
7
Allowed
1
xGA
0.78
GSAx
-0.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:06Penalty
  • 1st 9:16Jacob Melanson (1–0)low · 16 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 11:41Eduard Šalé (2–0)high · rebound · 17 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 13:46Ben Meyers (3–0)grade A · 11 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 14:46Penalty
  • 1st 18:18Roland McKeown (3–1)low · 71 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 18:55Penalty
  • 1st 18:55Penalty
  • 1st 18:55Penalty
  • 2nd 2:26Cale Fleury (4–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 7:09Penalty
  • 2nd 8:10Cale Fleury (5–1)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 9:48Penalty
  • 2nd 9:48Penalty
  • 2nd 9:48Penalty
  • 2nd 13:56Penalty
  • 2nd 13:56Penalty
  • 2nd 15:05Cale Fleury (6–1)low · 58 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 16:13Penalty
  • 3rd 5:01Sam Colangelo (6–2)low · 26 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 12:54Ryan Carpenter (6–3)low · 30 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 17:33Penalty
  • 3rd 18:09Pavol Regenda (6–4)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 18:49Sam Colangelo (6–5)high · 11 ft · beat Nikke Kokko