AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 19

Syracuse Crunch at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Syracuse Crunch
0:1
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

SYRLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
1.72.2
High danger
15
Chances
88
Shots
2320

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal20
8Scoring chances8
1High-danger chances5
1.70Expected goals2.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–54–10–10.5–0.5
2nd9–104–51–40.9–1.2
3rd9–50–20–00.3–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
23
Saves
23
Allowed
0
xGA
1.70
GSAx
+1.70
Shots faced
20
Saves
19
Allowed
1
xGA
2.17
GSAx
+1.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:48Owen Beck (0–1)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 1:01Penalty
  • 2nd 2:02Penalty
  • 2nd 4:19Penalty
  • 2nd 5:51Penalty
  • 2nd 13:09Penalty
  • 2nd 14:57Penalty
  • 2nd 16:45Penalty
  • 3rd 0:19Penalty
  • 3rd 5:24Penalty
  • 3rd 12:34Penalty