AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 19

Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders
4:5
Final / OT
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
3.15.4
High danger
410
Chances
1122
Shots
3442

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal42
11Scoring chances22
4High-danger chances10
3.13Expected goals5.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–133–52–21.0–1.2
2nd13–155–101–41.2–2.2
3rd11–123–51–31.0–1.3
OT0–20–20–10.0–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:040:52+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
42
Saves
37
Allowed
5
xGA
5.44
GSAx
+0.44
Dylan Garand
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
3.13
GSAx
-0.87

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:15Penalty
  • 1st 5:43Penalty
  • 1st 14:13Benoit-Olivier Groulx (0–1)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 14:50Fredrik Karlström (1–1)high · 10 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 17:16Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 5:49Penalty
  • 2nd 11:39Wyatt Newpower (2–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 11:55Penalty
  • 2nd 12:26Benoit-Olivier Groulx (2–2)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 15:53Brett Berard (2–3)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 3rd 1:43Penalty
  • 3rd 5:16Penalty
  • 3rd 10:34Penalty
  • 3rd 10:34Penalty
  • 3rd 12:32Penalty
  • 3rd 12:58Alex Jefferies (3–3)5v4 · high · 24 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 13:58Adam Sýkora (3–4)high · 10 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 17:48Fredrik Karlström (4–4)medium · 17 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • OT 1:38Brett Berard (4–5)5v4 · grade A · 24 ft · beat Marcus Högberg