AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 19

Chicago Wolves at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Chicago Wolves
3:2
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

CHIHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
2.33.1
High danger
46
Chances
612
Shots
3435

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal35
6Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances6
2.30Expected goals3.05

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–151–41–00.6–1.1
2nd13–72–21–10.8–0.5
3rd9–123–52–50.7–1.4
OT3–10–10–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.05
GSAx
+1.05
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
2.30
GSAx
-0.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:51Penalty
  • 1st 15:35Penalty
  • 2nd 9:07Penalty
  • 2nd 12:35Bradly Nadeau (1–0)high · 9 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 12:51Alex Limoges (1–1)high · 6 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 1:49Penalty
  • 3rd 3:08Pierrick Dubé (1–2)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 3:25Brendan Lemieux (2–2)high · 12 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 3:33Penalty
  • OT 3:10Scott Morrow (3–2)low · 8 ft · beat Clay Stevenson