AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 19

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
3:0
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

WBSLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
1.53.6
High danger
43
Chances
513
Shots
1741

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

17Shots on goal41
5Scoring chances13
4High-danger chances3
1.46Expected goals3.64

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–103–52–30.8–1.4
2nd3–190–50–00.2–1.4
3rd4–122–32–00.5–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
41
Saves
41
Allowed
0
xGA
3.64
GSAx
+3.64
Shots faced
17
Saves
14
Allowed
3
xGA
1.46
GSAx
-1.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:29Penalty
  • 1st 0:29Penalty
  • 1st 3:05Emil Bemström (1–0)medium · 7 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 11:19Penalty
  • 1st 18:53Penalty
  • 3rd 3:28Joona Koppanen (2–0)high · 23 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 4:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 19:31Boris Katchouk (3–0)empty net · low · 43 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov