AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 19

San Diego Gulls at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

San Diego Gulls
3:2
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

SDBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
83%17%
xG
3.01.9
High danger
40
Chances
125
Shots
2527

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal27
12Scoring chances5
4High-danger chances0
2.99Expected goals1.86

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–124–33–00.9–0.9
2nd6–70–20–00.4–0.5
3rd7–86–01–01.1–0.5
OT5–02–00–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
1.86
GSAx
-0.14
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.99
GSAx
-0.01

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:51Penalty
  • 1st 4:18Penalty
  • 2nd 13:08Penalty
  • 2nd 17:29Yegor Sidorov (1–0)low · wrist · 28 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 19:15Daniel D’Amato (1–1)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 3:53Penalty
  • 3rd 3:53Penalty
  • 3rd 11:25Connor Carrick (1–2)low · wrist · 35 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 12:01Penalty
  • 3rd 13:10Carson Meyer (2–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 14 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 14:17Penalty
  • OT 2:48Yegor Sidorov (3–2)medium · wrist · rebound · 28 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue