AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 20

Syracuse Crunch at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Syracuse Crunch
5:2
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

SYRBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
2.42.8
High danger
43
Chances
109
Shots
2332

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal32
10Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances3
2.41Expected goals2.82

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–121–40–20.4–1.1
2nd7–83–02–00.8–0.4
3rd10–126–52–11.2–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL212:09 of the 3rd7:517:02+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
2.82
GSAx
+0.82
Mads Søgaard
Shots faced
14
Saves
13
Allowed
1
xGA
1.37
GSAx
+0.37
Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
9
Saves
5
Allowed
4
xGA
1.04
GSAx
-2.96

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:47Penalty
  • 1st 6:24Jeremy Davies (0–1)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 12:28Penalty
  • 1st 15:32Penalty
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Penalty
  • 2nd 9:29Joel Teasdale (1–1)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 2nd 11:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 1:14Derrick Pouliot (2–1)grade A · rebound · 26 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 3rd 6:21Penalty
  • 3rd 8:36Penalty
  • 3rd 10:21Penalty
  • 3rd 11:50Lucas Edmonds (3–1)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 3rd 14:36Penalty
  • 3rd 14:36Penalty
  • 3rd 14:36Penalty
  • 3rd 14:36Penalty
  • 3rd 16:07Garrett Pilon (3–2)4v5 · medium · 16 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 17:13Derrick Pouliot (4–2)5v4 · low · 52 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 3rd 19:11Penalty
  • 3rd 19:34Dylan Duke (5–2)empty net · low · 60 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen