AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 20

Iowa Wild at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Iowa Wild
3:7
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

IASJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
60%40%
xG
3.73.0
High danger
64
Chances
1210
Shots
3930

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal30
12Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances4
3.65Expected goals2.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–113–30–10.7–0.9
2nd16–144–53–31.4–1.6
3rd13–55–23–01.5–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
3.65
GSAx
+0.65
Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
25
Saves
18
Allowed
7
xGA
2.43
GSAx
-4.57
Samuel Hlavaj
Shots faced
5
Saves
5
Allowed
0
xGA
0.52
GSAx
+0.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:08Luca Cagnoni (0–1)low · 37 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 2:36Justin Bailey (0–2)medium · 24 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 3:01Hunter Haight (1–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 2:14Penalty
  • 2nd 3:14Penalty
  • 2nd 13:23Lucas Vanroboys (1–3)high · 10 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 13:42Penalty
  • 2nd 15:23Scott Sabourin (1–4)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 15:50Hunter Haight (2–4)low · 27 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 16:03Filip Bystedt (2–5)medium · 19 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 17:40Colin White (2–6)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 18:07Ethan Frisch (2–7)low · 42 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 18:32Penalty
  • 3rd 9:47Hunter Haight (3–7)grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 11:21Penalty
  • 3rd 15:50Penalty
  • 3rd 15:50Penalty