AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, October 22

Calgary Wranglers at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Calgary Wranglers
2:1
Final / SO
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

CGYBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.23.5
High danger
25
Chances
711
Shots
2638

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal38
7Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances5
2.16Expected goals3.54

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–170–80–40.3–2.2
2nd11–93–31–11.0–0.8
3rd8–104–01–00.8–0.4
OT1–20–00–00.0–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
38
Saves
37
Allowed
1
xGA
3.54
GSAx
+2.54
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.16
GSAx
+1.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:25Noah Philp (0–1)low · slap · 34 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 11:36Penalty
  • 2nd 2:58Penalty
  • 2nd 15:01Penalty
  • 3rd 2:36Parker Bell (1–1)medium · wrist · 31 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 8:57Penalty
  • OT 0:46Penalty
  • OT 2:25Penalty
  • OT 4:33Penalty