AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, October 23

Cleveland Monsters at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Cleveland Monsters
1:6
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

CLEROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
2.64.7
High danger
47
Chances
1019
Shots
2649

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal49
10Scoring chances19
4High-danger chances7
2.63Expected goals4.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–181–71–30.5–1.7
2nd9–223–91–21.0–2.3
3rd10–96–32–21.2–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.16
GSAx
-0.84
Michael Houser
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.63
GSAx
+1.63
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
18
Saves
16
Allowed
2
xGA
1.55
GSAx
-0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:52Penalty
  • 1st 3:26Graham Slaggert (0–1)4v5 · high · 26 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 8:17Penalty
  • 1st 10:13Penalty
  • 1st 15:47Mason Jobst (0–2)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 18:17Penalty
  • 1st 18:17Penalty
  • 2nd 2:58Penalty
  • 2nd 5:14Tyson Kozak (0–3)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 5:21Isak Rosén (0–4)medium · 18 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 8:51Zach Metsa (0–5)low · 55 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 13:03Penalty
  • 2nd 15:37Penalty
  • 2nd 15:37Penalty
  • 3rd 1:20Chris Wilkie (1–5)low · 48 ft · beat Michael Houser
  • 3rd 4:15Penalty
  • 3rd 4:15Penalty
  • 3rd 5:12Penalty
  • 3rd 8:40Noah Östlund (1–6)low · 51 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 14:02Penalty
  • 3rd 16:52Penalty