AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 25

San Jose Barracuda at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

San Jose Barracuda
5:3
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

SJHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
74%26%
xG
4.02.8
High danger
85
Chances
148
Shots
4132

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

41Shots on goal32
14Scoring chances8
8High-danger chances5
3.99Expected goals2.83

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–143–32–10.8–1.3
2nd17–48–14–12.2–0.3
3rd15–143–42–31.0–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Akira Schmid
Shots faced
41
Saves
36
Allowed
5
xGA
3.99
GSAx
-1.01
Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.83
GSAx
-0.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:50Jimmy Schuldt (1–0)low · slap · 61 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 2:51Penalty
  • 1st 7:28Andrew Poturalski (2–0)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 9:00Brandon Hickey (2–1)low · wrist · rebound · 53 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 1st 14:40Penalty
  • 2nd 1:27Penalty
  • 2nd 5:08Penalty
  • 2nd 10:30Penalty
  • 2nd 16:16Penalty
  • 3rd 1:44Penalty
  • 3rd 4:07Anthony Vincent (3–1)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 15:18Ethan Cardwell (4–1)low · wrist · 28 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 16:59Penalty
  • 3rd 17:31Gage Quinney (4–2)5v4 · medium · slap · 30 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 18:23Filip Bystedt (5–2)empty net · medium · wrist · 28 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 19:44Kai Uchacz (5–3)high · slap · 18 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty