AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 25

Bridgeport Islanders at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Bridgeport Islanders
2:8
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

BRICLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.93.1
High danger
54
Chances
1010
Shots
3632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal32
10Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances4
2.86Expected goals3.15

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–113–21–10.9–1.0
2nd12–113–43–21.0–1.2
3rd12–104–41–11.0–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Chris Driedger
Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
2.86
GSAx
+0.86
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
22
Saves
16
Allowed
6
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-3.81
Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
10
Saves
8
Allowed
2
xGA
0.96
GSAx
-1.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:53Penalty
  • 1st 3:53Penalty
  • 1st 9:19Penalty
  • 1st 14:23Penalty
  • 1st 15:52Brian Pinho (1–0)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 1st 16:26Sandis Vilmanis (1–1)low · 26 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 19:08Penalty
  • 1st 19:08Penalty
  • 1st 19:08Penalty
  • 1st 19:08Penalty
  • 1st 19:08Penalty
  • 2nd 5:38Penalty
  • 2nd 6:23Aidan McDonough (1–2)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 11:32Ryan McAllister (1–3)medium · 20 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 13:13Kyle Criscuolo (1–4)high · rebound · 30 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 13:37Penalty
  • 2nd 16:29Matt Luff (1–5)low · 29 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 17:03Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Rasmus Asplund (1–6)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 18:57Penalty
  • 3rd 0:35Penalty
  • 3rd 1:38Penalty
  • 3rd 3:19Trevor Carrick (1–7)5v4 · low · 33 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 10:35Penalty
  • 3rd 12:34Penalty
  • 3rd 16:54Hudson Fasching (2–7)low · 11 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 17:06Penalty
  • 3rd 18:24Michael Benning (2–8)4v5 · low · 41 ft · beat Marcus Högberg