Utica Comets at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Utica Comets

3:4

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

UTCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

52%48%

xG: 2.62.3
High danger: 54
Chances: 99
Shots: 3022

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal22

9Scoring chances9

5High-danger chances4

2.60Expected goals2.32

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–11	0–4	0–1	0.1–1.0
2nd	14–8	5–5	4–3	1.4–1.2
3rd	13–3	4–0	1–0	1.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	11:21	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 27
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.60
GSAx: -0.40

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 18
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.32
GSAx: -1.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 14:45Zack Hayes (0–1)low · wrist · 26 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 5:26Penalty
2nd 8:03Penalty
2nd 8:33Joshua Roy (0–2)5v4 · medium · snap · 31 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 9:24Penalty
2nd 9:24Penalty
2nd 10:02Laurent Dauphin (0–3)high · wrist · 15 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 13:23Penalty
3rd 1:00Brian Halonen (1–3)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
3rd 6:57Florian Xhekaj (1–4)low · 25 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 9:27Filip Engaras (2–4)low · wrist · 38 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
3rd 17:02Penalty
3rd 18:24Justin Dowling (3–4)5v4 · low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš