AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 26

Bridgeport Islanders at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Bridgeport Islanders
2:5
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

BRICLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
7%93%
xG
1.04.2
High danger
112
Chances
513
Shots
1240

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

12Shots on goal40
5Scoring chances13
1High-danger chances12
1.03Expected goals4.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–120–20–20.1–0.7
2nd4–142–51–40.5–1.4
3rd4–143–60–60.4–2.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
40
Saves
35
Allowed
5
xGA
4.17
GSAx
-0.83
Shots faced
12
Saves
10
Allowed
2
xGA
1.03
GSAx
-0.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:29Penalty
  • 1st 6:57Oliver Okuliar (0–1)high · 8 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 11:51Brian Pinho (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 0:25Wilmer Skoog (1–2)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 2:06Penalty
  • 2nd 2:43Ryan McAllister (1–3)5v4 · low · 57 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 5:24Penalty
  • 2nd 9:11Penalty
  • 2nd 9:16Kyle Criscuolo (1–4)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 10:08Penalty
  • 2nd 10:47Penalty
  • 2nd 13:53Penalty
  • 2nd 13:53Penalty
  • 2nd 14:38Penalty
  • 2nd 19:10Penalty
  • 3rd 2:57Penalty
  • 3rd 4:29Kyle Criscuolo (1–5)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 5:03Fredrik Karlström (2–5)medium · 11 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 6:50Penalty
  • 3rd 13:39Penalty
  • 3rd 13:39Penalty
  • 3rd 13:39Penalty