AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 26

Bakersfield Condors at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Bakersfield Condors
2:3
Final / OT
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

BAKTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
20%80%
xG
2.24.2
High danger
411
Chances
514
Shots
2632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal32
5Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances11
2.18Expected goals4.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–92–12–10.8–0.5
2nd9–121–80–70.5–2.2
3rd7–102–42–20.9–1.0
OT0–10–10–10.0–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
4.17
GSAx
+1.17
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.18
GSAx
+0.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:25Penalty
  • 1st 10:28Penalty
  • 1st 12:02Noah Philp (1–0)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 1st 12:17Cameron Hebig (1–1)high · 10 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 1st 18:30Penalty
  • 1st 18:58Egor Sokolov (1–2)5v4 · low · 49 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 3:10Penalty
  • 2nd 3:10Penalty
  • 2nd 3:10Penalty
  • 2nd 14:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:11Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 3rd 5:35Penalty
  • 3rd 7:33Cameron Wright (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 18 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 8:52Penalty
  • 3rd 9:38Penalty
  • 3rd 11:04Penalty
  • OT 1:41Egor Sokolov (2–3)grade A · 40 ft · beat Collin Delia