AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 27

Grand Rapids Griffins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Grand Rapids Griffins
4:3
Final / SO
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

GRLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
3.13.5
High danger
43
Chances
1112
Shots
3336

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal36
11Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances3
3.11Expected goals3.52

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–125–72–21.1–1.6
2nd14–85–41–01.5–0.7
3rd6–131–01–00.4–0.8
OT2–30–10–10.2–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:041:14+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carter Gylander
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
3.52
GSAx
+0.52
Eetu Makiniemi
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
3.11
GSAx
+0.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:31Penalty
  • 1st 6:17Penalty
  • 1st 6:17Penalty
  • 1st 6:58Sheldon Dries (1–0)high · backhand · 14 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 1st 7:18Penalty
  • 1st 19:10Penalty
  • 2nd 0:30Anthony Richard (1–1)5v4 · medium · snap · 30 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 2nd 5:56Penalty
  • 2nd 13:55Cross Hanas (2–1)grade A · 16 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 2nd 14:20Penalty
  • 3rd 4:10Alexis Gendron (2–2)low · 11 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 3rd 5:34Garrett Wilson (2–3)low · 58 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 3rd 18:10Sheldon Dries (3–3)high · 14 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi