AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, October 29

San Diego Gulls at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

San Diego Gulls
3:4
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

SDCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
85%15%
xG
4.81.8
High danger
72
Chances
206
Shots
4525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

45Shots on goal25
20Scoring chances6
7High-danger chances2
4.84Expected goals1.84

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st19–67–12–01.8–0.4
2nd12–96–44–11.5–0.8
3rd14–107–11–11.5–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD117:30 of the 3rd2:302:30+0.051 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
45
Saves
42
Allowed
3
xGA
4.84
GSAx
+1.84
Calle Clang
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
1.84
GSAx
-2.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:45Tyson Hinds (1–0)low · wrist · 38 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 11:31Matt Coronato (1–1)low · wrist · 16 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 18:02Penalty
  • 2nd 0:18Penalty
  • 2nd 5:03Sam Colangelo (2–1)high · wrist · 7 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 7:52Ilya Solovyov (2–2)low · slap · 59 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 10:48Matt Coronato (2–3)high · wrist · 6 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 11:31Penalty
  • 2nd 11:54Penalty
  • 2nd 14:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:38Penalty
  • 2nd 18:02Penalty
  • 3rd 4:31Penalty
  • 3rd 4:47Penalty
  • 3rd 8:31Penalty
  • 3rd 10:32Jan Myšák (3–3)grade A · backhand · rebound · 12 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 17:30Clark Bishop (3–4)low · wrist · 32 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Penalty