AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, October 30

Providence Bruins at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Providence Bruins
3:2
Final / SO
Belleville Senators

The sheet

PROBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
3.54.9
High danger
89
Chances
1318
Shots
2437

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal37
13Scoring chances18
8High-danger chances9
3.49Expected goals4.92

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–107–34–11.9–0.9
2nd6–115–94–31.2–2.3
3rd5–121–60–50.3–1.5
OT2–40–00–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
4.92
GSAx
+2.92
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
3.49
GSAx
+1.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:58Penalty
  • 1st 6:17Penalty
  • 1st 6:17Penalty
  • 1st 11:55Joey Abate (1–0)low · 56 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 13:21Penalty
  • 1st 14:36Riley Tufte (2–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 16:12Penalty
  • 1st 16:12Penalty
  • 1st 19:39Penalty
  • 1st 19:39Penalty
  • 2nd 0:27Penalty
  • 2nd 0:45Penalty
  • 2nd 2:35Jeremy Davies (2–1)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 5:13Penalty
  • 2nd 9:15Penalty
  • 2nd 15:36Penalty
  • 2nd 17:50Penalty
  • 2nd 19:19Cole Reinhardt (2–2)5v4 · grade A · 6 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 3rd 3:06Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty