AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, October 31

San Diego Gulls at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

San Diego Gulls
2:6
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

SDCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
13%87%
xG
2.56.0
High danger
418
Chances
925
Shots
2842

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal42
9Scoring chances25
4High-danger chances18
2.51Expected goals5.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–182–71–60.5–2.4
2nd11–125–103–61.4–1.9
3rd9–122–80–60.6–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD35:53 of the 3rd14:0714:07+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
42
Saves
36
Allowed
6
xGA
5.96
GSAx
-0.04
Waltteri Ignatjew
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.51
GSAx
+0.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:08William Strömgren (0–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 7 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 3:15Penalty
  • 1st 5:06William Strömgren (0–2)5v4 · medium · snap · 36 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 9:41Penalty
  • 1st 15:17Penalty
  • 2nd 2:22Penalty
  • 2nd 3:11Penalty
  • 2nd 3:11Penalty
  • 2nd 6:08Sam Colangelo (1–2)low · wrist · 28 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 2nd 6:50Penalty
  • 2nd 10:42Penalty
  • 2nd 12:47Penalty
  • 2nd 14:56Clark Bishop (1–3)high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 16:36Penalty
  • 3rd 1:18Penalty
  • 3rd 5:53Dryden Hunt (1–4)low · wrist · 40 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 11:07Penalty
  • 3rd 12:40Walker Duehr (1–5)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 12:53Rory Kerins (1–6)medium · wrist · 35 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 17:34Carson Meyer (2–6)medium · tip · 7 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 3rd 18:37Penalty