AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 1

Texas Stars at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Texas Stars
3:5
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

TEXCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
1.83.0
High danger
34
Chances
612
Shots
1833

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal33
6Scoring chances12
3High-danger chances4
1.85Expected goals3.04

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–83–12–00.6–0.5
2nd7–120–70–20.6–1.5
3rd6–133–41–20.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
3.04
GSAx
-1.96
Trent Miner
Shots faced
18
Saves
15
Allowed
3
xGA
1.85
GSAx
-1.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:01Jacob MacDonald (0–1)low · 54 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 18:46Penalty
  • 1st 18:55Christian Kyrou (1–1)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 19:49Penalty
  • 2nd 5:20Justin Hryckowian (2–1)low · rebound · 64 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 8:11Penalty
  • 2nd 10:22Penalty
  • 2nd 13:08Penalty
  • 2nd 16:01Jake Wise (2–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 16:09Penalty
  • 2nd 16:09Penalty
  • 2nd 16:09Penalty
  • 2nd 19:39Penalty
  • 2nd 19:39Penalty
  • 3rd 0:35Matthew Phillips (2–3)high · 7 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 4:07Jason Polin (2–4)high · 16 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 11:35Penalty
  • 3rd 17:45Jayson Megna (2–5)empty net · low · 128 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 19:28Luke Krys (3–5)medium · 12 ft · beat Trent Miner