AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 3

San Jose Barracuda at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

San Jose Barracuda
2:5
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

SJIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
2.14.2
High danger
210
Chances
819
Shots
2436

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal36
8Scoring chances19
2High-danger chances10
2.13Expected goals4.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–133–61–40.8–1.4
2nd11–122–91–30.8–1.5
3rd6–113–40–30.5–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ213:18 of the 3rd6:426:42+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
36
Saves
31
Allowed
5
xGA
4.21
GSAx
-0.79
Dylan Ferguson
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.13
GSAx
+0.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:42Penalty
  • 1st 4:52Penalty
  • 1st 11:53Penalty
  • 1st 12:25Penalty
  • 1st 13:19Liam Öhgren (0–1)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 14:56Penalty
  • 1st 15:40Penalty
  • 1st 18:18David Špaček (0–2)low · 56 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 5:13Michael Milne (0–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 11:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:15Penalty
  • 2nd 16:50Penalty
  • 2nd 16:50Penalty
  • 2nd 18:43Penalty
  • 2nd 18:43Penalty
  • 2nd 18:43Penalty
  • 2nd 18:43Penalty
  • 2nd 19:13Andrew Poturalski (1–3)5v4 · high · 35 ft · beat Dylan Ferguson
  • 2nd 19:45Penalty
  • 3rd 8:32Andrew Poturalski (2–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Dylan Ferguson
  • 3rd 13:18Hunter Haight (2–4)low · 35 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 15:50Devin Shore (2–5)low · 23 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 19:52Penalty