AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 3

Charlotte Checkers at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Charlotte Checkers
3:4
Final / SO
Hershey Bears

The sheet

CLTHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
68%32%
xG
2.31.4
High danger
43
Chances
65
Shots
2715

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal15
6Scoring chances5
4High-danger chances3
2.28Expected goals1.42

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–61–10–00.5–0.4
2nd5–62–42–30.6–0.8
3rd12–33–02–01.1–0.2
OT2–00–00–00.1–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.28
GSAx
-0.72
Shots faced
15
Saves
12
Allowed
3
xGA
1.42
GSAx
-1.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:51Penalty
  • 1st 12:53Riley Bezeau (1–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 14:28Penalty
  • 2nd 1:08Penalty
  • 2nd 3:51Penalty
  • 2nd 4:44Ethen Frank (1–1)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 6:50Penalty
  • 2nd 10:14Henrik Rybinski (1–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 12:49Ethen Frank (1–3)high · 10 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 14:57Penalty
  • 2nd 16:44Penalty
  • 2nd 16:54Michael Benning (2–3)5v4 · high · 32 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 17:34Penalty
  • 3rd 4:45Ryan McAllister (3–3)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Hunter Shepard