AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 3

Abbotsford Canucks at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
4:6
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ABBSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.93.4
High danger
45
Chances
912
Shots
2733

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal33
9Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances5
2.92Expected goals3.37

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–103–41–11.0–1.0
2nd8–123–61–30.9–1.6
3rd10–113–22–11.1–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−3ABB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD30:47 of the 3rd19:139:44+0.024 pts
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
33
Saves
27
Allowed
6
xGA
3.37
GSAx
-2.63
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-1.40
Calle Clang
Shots faced
5
Saves
5
Allowed
0
xGA
0.32
GSAx
+0.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:09Penalty
  • 1st 10:50Penalty
  • 1st 13:36Penalty
  • 1st 14:41Penalty
  • 1st 15:38Jonathan Lekkerimäki (1–0)5v4 · low · 42 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 17:50Jonathan Lekkerimäki (2–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 1:12Max Sasson (3–0)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 2:40Penalty
  • 2nd 7:12Penalty
  • 2nd 9:53Nikita Nesterenko (3–1)low · 16 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 12:57Penalty
  • 2nd 17:16Penalty
  • 3rd 0:47Cole McWard (4–1)low · rebound · 57 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 2:32Penalty
  • 3rd 10:08Rodwin Dionicio (4–2)low · 43 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 12:05Penalty
  • 3rd 12:32Ryan Carpenter (4–3)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 13:46Roland McKeown (4–4)low · 38 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 16:30Sam Colangelo (4–5)medium · 13 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 19:28Nikita Nesterenko (4–6)empty net · low · 124 ft · beat Jiří Patera