AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 8

Laval Rocket at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Laval Rocket
4:3
Final / SO
Belleville Senators

The sheet

LAVBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
3.13.0
High danger
25
Chances
1314
Shots
2831

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal31
13Scoring chances14
2High-danger chances5
3.06Expected goals2.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–151–60–20.3–1.4
2nd12–68–31–11.6–0.6
3rd8–74–31–10.8–0.6
OT3–30–20–10.3–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV116:56 of the 3rd3:041:24+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Connor Hughes
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.96
GSAx
-0.04
Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
2.33
GSAx
+0.33
Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
6
Saves
5
Allowed
1
xGA
0.73
GSAx
-0.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:19Angus Crookshank (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 16:18Penalty
  • 1st 16:18Penalty
  • 1st 16:18Penalty
  • 1st 16:18Penalty
  • 1st 16:18Penalty
  • 2nd 0:26Alex Barré-Boulet (1–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 1:54Penalty
  • 2nd 2:11Stephen Halliday (1–2)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 4:52Penalty
  • 2nd 10:58Penalty
  • 2nd 17:05Penalty
  • 3rd 0:33Brandon Gignac (2–2)medium · 30 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 3rd 5:32Penalty
  • 3rd 8:00Penalty
  • 3rd 8:53Penalty
  • 3rd 12:03Penalty
  • 3rd 13:02Penalty
  • 3rd 13:28Angus Crookshank (2–3)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 3rd 18:20Luke Tuch (3–3)high · 10 ft · beat Malcolm Subban