AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 9

Providence Bruins at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Providence Bruins
8:4
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

PROBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
3.02.8
High danger
42
Chances
108
Shots
3336

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal36
10Scoring chances8
4High-danger chances2
2.98Expected goals2.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–142–31–10.6–1.1
2nd8–122–42–10.9–1.0
3rd15–106–11–01.4–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI39:13 of the 3rd10:4710:47+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
2.80
GSAx
-1.20
Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
33
Saves
25
Allowed
8
xGA
2.98
GSAx
-5.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:53Penalty
  • 1st 5:53Penalty
  • 1st 8:28Penalty
  • 1st 12:15Marc McLaughlin (1–0)low · 38 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 14:10Penalty
  • 1st 15:42Penalty
  • 1st 17:47Marc Gatcomb (1–1)low · 24 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 0:15Liam Foudy (1–2)low · 33 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 2:33Penalty
  • 2nd 2:33Penalty
  • 2nd 2:33Penalty
  • 2nd 4:24Penalty
  • 2nd 5:46Georgii Merkulov (2–2)5v4 · grade A · 24 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 7:37Marc Gatcomb (2–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 8:46Penalty
  • 2nd 10:57Penalty
  • 2nd 11:48Riley Tufte (3–3)5v4 · low · 34 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 15:15Penalty
  • 2nd 17:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:00Riley Duran (4–3)4v5 · high · 21 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 19:22William Dufour (4–4)5v4 · medium · 56 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:51Penalty
  • 3rd 8:17Ian Mitchell (5–4)low · 60 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 8:59Vinni Lettieri (6–4)high · rebound · 40 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 9:13John Farinacci (7–4)medium · 34 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 11:24John Farinacci (8–4)low · 43 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 15:30Penalty
  • 3rd 15:30Penalty
  • 3rd 15:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty