AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 9

Cleveland Monsters at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Cleveland Monsters
5:2
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

CLESYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
2.32.9
High danger
62
Chances
810
Shots
2136

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal36
8Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances2
2.32Expected goals2.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–95–24–11.5–0.7
2nd7–131–31–00.4–1.0
3rd3–142–51–10.4–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−4−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR40:00 of the 3rd20:0017:12+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
2.95
GSAx
+0.95
Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
21
Saves
16
Allowed
5
xGA
2.32
GSAx
-2.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:09Penalty
  • 1st 6:17Rocco Grimaldi (1–0)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 8:23Penalty
  • 1st 13:23Penalty
  • 1st 14:46Penalty
  • 1st 14:46Penalty
  • 1st 18:56Penalty
  • 1st 19:58Luca Del Bel Belluz (2–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 6:35Trey Fix-Wolansky (3–0)low · 57 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 12:28Penalty
  • 2nd 12:28Penalty
  • 2nd 14:38Penalty
  • 2nd 15:22Justin Pearson (4–0)4v5 · high · 18 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 1:29Conor Sheary (4–1)low · 35 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 9:21Gabriel Fortier (4–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 17:19Rocco Grimaldi (5–2)empty net · high · 6 ft · beat Matt Tomkins