Henderson Silver Knights at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Henderson Silver Knights

0:4

Final

Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

HSKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

16%84%

xG: 1.83.1
High danger: 17
Chances: 411
Shots: 2630

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CGY above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal30

4Scoring chances11

1High-danger chances7

1.78Expected goals3.14

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–15	1–5	0–3	0.7–1.7
2nd	3–5	0–3	0–2	0.2–0.6
3rd	11–10	3–3	1–2	0.9–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HSK	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jordan Papirny

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 26
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.14
GSAx: -0.86

Devin Cooley

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 26
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.78
GSAx: +1.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:16Adam Klapka (0–1)high · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
1st 7:22Sam Morton (0–2)medium · tip · 13 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
1st 15:57Penalty
1st 17:52Penalty
1st 19:44Walker Duehr (0–3)5v4 · grade A · tip · 6 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
2nd 3:43Penalty
2nd 15:17Penalty
3rd 6:28Penalty
3rd 7:25Adam Klapka (0–4)5v4 · high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
3rd 14:53Penalty
3rd 14:53Penalty
3rd 14:53Penalty
3rd 14:53Penalty
3rd 14:53Penalty
3rd 14:53Penalty
3rd 14:56Penalty
3rd 18:43Penalty