Cleveland Monsters at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Cleveland Monsters

4:0

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

CLEUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

68%32%

xG: 3.42.8
High danger: 75
Chances: 1511
Shots: 3127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal27

15Scoring chances11

7High-danger chances5

3.43Expected goals2.83

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–9	3–2	0–0	0.4–0.7
2nd	10–11	6–4	3–2	1.2–1.1
3rd	16–7	6–5	4–3	1.8–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	3	11:05 of the 3rd	8:55	8:55	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 27
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.43
GSAx: -0.57

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 27
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.83
GSAx: +2.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

2nd 2:05Penalty
2nd 7:32Penalty
2nd 9:18Owen Sillinger (1–0)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 12:37Penalty
2nd 12:37Penalty
3rd 3:44Penalty
3rd 3:52James Malatesta (2–0)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 11:05Jake Gaudet (3–0)medium · 6 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 13:05Penalty
3rd 15:56Denton Mateychuk (4–0)low · 42 ft · beat Nico Daws