AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 13

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
3:4
Final / OT
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

WBSLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.03.4
High danger
35
Chances
59
Shots
2839

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal39
5Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances5
1.98Expected goals3.39

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–122–11–10.5–0.8
2nd16–173–52–21.3–1.6
3rd3–90–30–20.1–0.9
OT0–10–00–00.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:041:31+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson
Shots faced
39
Saves
35
Allowed
4
xGA
3.39
GSAx
-0.61
Eetu Makiniemi
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
1.98
GSAx
-1.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:57Penalty
  • 1st 2:57Penalty
  • 1st 19:23Louie Belpedio (0–1)low · 59 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 2:57Marc Johnstone (1–1)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 2nd 3:13Emil Bemström (2–1)low · 39 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 2nd 6:42Penalty
  • 2nd 10:49Penalty
  • 2nd 12:07Penalty
  • 2nd 18:39Alexis Gendron (2–2)high · 15 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 9:22Penalty
  • 3rd 14:33Owen Pickering (3–2)low · 25 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 3rd 18:27Alexis Gendron (3–3)high · 32 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty
  • OT 1:06Olle Lycksell (3–4)5v4 · low · 17 ft · beat Filip Larsson