Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

1:5

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

14%86%

xG: 2.35.3
High danger: 415
Chances: 720
Shots: 2231

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal31

7Scoring chances20

4High-danger chances15

2.35Expected goals5.34

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–11	2–6	2–4	0.7–1.8
2nd	9–9	2–7	1–5	1.0–1.8
3rd	5–11	3–7	1–6	0.6–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CHI	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ruslan Khazheyev

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 26
Allowed: 5
xGA: 5.34
GSAx: +0.34

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 21
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: +1.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:29Nate Danielson (0–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 6 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
1st 3:21Amadeus Lombardi (0–2)high · 5 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
1st 5:30Penalty
1st 17:40Austin Watson (0–3)low · snap · 24 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
2nd 1:14William Lagesson (0–4)grade A · snap · rebound · 10 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
2nd 8:58Penalty
2nd 14:21Penalty
2nd 18:27Bradly Nadeau (1–4)grade A · snap · rebound · 25 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
3rd 2:25Joe Snively (1–5)high · wrist · 5 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev