AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 16

Texas Stars at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Texas Stars
8:4
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

TEXIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
4.12.5
High danger
65
Chances
129
Shots
3927

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal27
12Scoring chances9
6High-danger chances5
4.06Expected goals2.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–151–40–20.6–1.2
2nd16–68–24–12.2–0.6
3rd15–63–32–21.3–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
39
Saves
31
Allowed
8
xGA
4.06
GSAx
-3.94
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.47
GSAx
-1.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:47Penalty
  • 1st 12:06Luke Toporowski (0–1)low · 138 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 16:51Devin Shore (0–2)high · tip · 15 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 18:54Penalty
  • 2nd 1:00Kole Lind (1–2)low · 26 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 1:31Luke Toporowski (1–3)low · rebound · 21 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 2:35Penalty
  • 2nd 5:37Penalty
  • 2nd 7:20Cameron Hughes (2–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 12:07Penalty
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 2nd 17:53Antonio Stranges (3–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 22 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 0:25Hunter Haight (3–4)5v4 · medium · slap · 41 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 4:43Penalty
  • 3rd 6:52Penalty
  • 3rd 7:38Penalty
  • 3rd 9:28Penalty
  • 3rd 9:35Kole Lind (4–4)low · 56 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 11:28Cameron Hughes (5–4)5v4 · high · tip · 14 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 11:55Emilio Pettersen (6–4)medium · slap · 14 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 14:47Kyle Capobianco (7–4)low · 29 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 17:24Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Matěj Blümel (8–4)5v4 · low · slap · 42 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt