AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 16

Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch
2:0
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
2.92.0
High danger
93
Chances
136
Shots
2625

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal25
13Scoring chances6
9High-danger chances3
2.92Expected goals2.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–75–33–21.1–0.8
2nd8–95–24–01.1–0.6
3rd7–93–12–10.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.93
GSAx
+0.93
Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
25
Saves
25
Allowed
0
xGA
2.02
GSAx
+2.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:08Dylan Duke (1–0)high · 8 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 5:09Penalty
  • 1st 8:48Penalty
  • 1st 8:48Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 2nd 4:36Penalty
  • 2nd 5:56Penalty
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 8:15Penalty
  • 2nd 9:27Maxim Groshev (2–0)4v5 · medium · 9 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 11:24Penalty
  • 2nd 13:50Penalty