AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 16

Calgary Wranglers at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Calgary Wranglers
6:2
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CGYSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
3.12.7
High danger
64
Chances
1412
Shots
2733

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal33
14Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances4
3.06Expected goals2.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–103–21–20.7–0.6
2nd9–105–51–11.1–1.0
3rd10–136–54–11.3–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
33
Saves
31
Allowed
2
xGA
2.75
GSAx
+0.75
Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-2.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:30Danil Gushchin (0–1)high · 10 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 7:17Penalty
  • 1st 16:32Jonathan Aspirot (1–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 1st 17:59Penalty
  • 1st 18:59Walker Duehr (2–1)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 1:49Rory Kerins (3–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 5:54Sam Morton (4–1)low · 29 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 10:09Penalty
  • 2nd 12:07Penalty
  • 3rd 11:00Penalty
  • 3rd 17:39Danil Gushchin (4–2)high · 43 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 18:28Adam Klapka (5–2)empty net · high · 14 ft
  • 3rd 19:10David Silye (6–2)empty net · low · 53 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov