Cleveland Monsters at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Cleveland Monsters

4:3

Final / OT

Providence Bruins

The sheet

CLEPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

62%38%

xG: 3.32.2
High danger: 55
Chances: 107
Shots: 3323

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

PRO above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal23

10Scoring chances7

5High-danger chances5

3.28Expected goals2.22

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–10	2–1	2–0	0.7–0.7
2nd	13–8	4–3	2–3	1.4–0.9
3rd	11–5	3–3	0–2	0.9–0.6
OT	1–0	1–0	1–0	0.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	2:36	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael DiPietro

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 29
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.28
GSAx: -0.72

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 20
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.22
GSAx: -0.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 12:57Max Jones (0–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 18:47Penalty
2nd 5:41Penalty
2nd 6:22Rocco Grimaldi (1–1)5v4 · low · 68 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
2nd 7:08Marc McLaughlin (1–2)low · 25 ft · beat Jet Greaves
2nd 8:10Penalty
2nd 14:01Penalty
2nd 14:01Penalty
2nd 16:04Tyler Pitlick (1–3)high · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 1:38Penalty
3rd 5:29Penalty
3rd 9:39Penalty
3rd 12:14Trey Fix-Wolansky (2–3)medium · 8 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
3rd 13:30Penalty
3rd 19:27Rocco Grimaldi (3–3)low · 46 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
OT 0:19Denton Mateychuk (4–3)grade A · 43 ft · beat Michael DiPietro