AHLDashboard
Sunday, November 17

Rochester Americans at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Rochester Americans
1:2
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

ROCTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
3.02.3
High danger
42
Chances
125
Shots
3129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal29
12Scoring chances5
4High-danger chances2
2.97Expected goals2.25

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81041310.80.6
2nd6912000.50.7
3rd16962011.30.8
OT1110100.40.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
30
Allowed
1
xGA
2.97
GSAx
+1.97
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.25
GSAx
+0.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:27Penalty
  • 1st 6:45Penalty
  • 1st 10:33Nick Abruzzese (0–1)high · 15 ft · beat Felix Sandström
  • 1st 12:23Penalty
  • 1st 13:29Penalty
  • 1st 19:30Penalty
  • 2nd 1:17Penalty
  • 2nd 4:59Penalty
  • 2nd 12:35Penalty
  • 3rd 6:31Brendan Warren (1–1)low · 26 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 8:52Penalty
  • 3rd 8:52Penalty
  • 3rd 12:01Penalty
  • 3rd 17:54Penalty
  • OT 0:35Alex Nylander (1–2)low · 21 ft · beat Felix Sandström