AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 17

Calgary Wranglers at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Calgary Wranglers
4:5
Final / OT
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CGYSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
2.53.4
High danger
64
Chances
910
Shots
2738

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal38
9Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances4
2.54Expected goals3.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–103–23–01.0–0.7
2nd6–122–42–20.6–1.1
3rd8–144–31–10.9–1.2
OT1–20–10–10.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ116:56 of the 3rd3:041:24+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Waltteri Ignatjew
Shots faced
38
Saves
33
Allowed
5
xGA
3.44
GSAx
-1.56
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.54
GSAx
-1.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:55Penalty
  • 1st 14:11Rory Kerins (1–0)low · 36 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 14:33David Silye (2–0)high · 16 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 4:58Jimmy Schuldt (2–1)low · 54 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 2nd 6:04Filip Bystedt (2–2)low · 61 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 2nd 12:16Penalty
  • 2nd 13:12Rory Kerins (3–2)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 15:11Penalty
  • 2nd 17:10Justin Bailey (3–3)4v5 · medium · 14 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • 3rd 0:33Penalty
  • 3rd 3:41Penalty
  • 3rd 11:33Adam Klapka (4–3)low · 37 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 14:53Penalty
  • 3rd 18:20Collin Graf (4–4)medium · 19 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew
  • OT 3:25Luca Cagnoni (4–5)grade A · 16 ft · beat Waltteri Ignatjew