AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, November 21

Chicago Wolves at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Chicago Wolves
5:0
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

CHIMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
89%11%
xG
4.41.8
High danger
71
Chances
195
Shots
3525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal25
19Scoring chances5
7High-danger chances1
4.37Expected goals1.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–47–14–11.6–0.4
2nd10–107–21–01.3–0.7
3rd12–115–22–01.5–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
4.37
GSAx
-0.63
Dustin Tokarski
Shots faced
25
Saves
25
Allowed
0
xGA
1.85
GSAx
+1.85

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:50Penalty
  • 1st 6:23Juha Jääskä (1–0)high · 18 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 6:45Bradly Nadeau (2–0)high · 11 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 16:48Penalty
  • 2nd 9:34Penalty
  • 2nd 11:50Penalty
  • 2nd 14:57Gleb Trikozov (3–0)medium · 12 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 17:24Penalty
  • 3rd 1:01Penalty
  • 3rd 1:01Penalty
  • 3rd 1:01Penalty
  • 3rd 1:01Penalty
  • 3rd 1:22Penalty
  • 3rd 1:53Penalty
  • 3rd 8:07Penalty
  • 3rd 11:23Penalty
  • 3rd 14:12Penalty
  • 3rd 14:12Penalty
  • 3rd 14:12Penalty
  • 3rd 14:12Penalty
  • 3rd 14:49Noel Gunler (4–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 15:46Josiah Slavin (5–0)medium · 26 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen