AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 22

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
0:3
Final
Providence Bruins

The sheet

LVPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
2.51.8
High danger
23
Chances
107
Shots
3021

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal21
10Scoring chances7
2High-danger chances3
2.53Expected goals1.76

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–112–31–20.7–0.8
2nd10–44–10–00.8–0.3
3rd11–64–31–11.0–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
30
Saves
30
Allowed
0
xGA
2.53
GSAx
+2.53
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.71
GSAx
-0.29

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:55Penalty
  • 1st 8:01Fabian Lysell (0–1)low · 23 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 11:41Penalty
  • 1st 11:41Penalty
  • 1st 13:36Penalty
  • 1st 15:27Frederic Brunet (0–2)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 3:19Penalty
  • 2nd 4:52Penalty
  • 2nd 18:39Penalty
  • 3rd 7:12Penalty
  • 3rd 7:12Penalty
  • 3rd 11:11Penalty
  • 3rd 18:42Tyler Pitlick (0–3)empty net · low · 47 ft