Colorado Eagles at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Colorado Eagles

1:2

Final / OT

Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

COLBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

71%29%

xG: 2.71.7
High danger: 32
Chances: 66
Shots: 3225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

BAK above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal25

6Scoring chances6

3High-danger chances2

2.70Expected goals1.65

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–10	0–2	0–0	0.3–0.5
2nd	8–8	2–3	1–2	0.8–0.8
3rd	13–5	4–0	2–0	1.5–0.1
OT	2–2	0–1	0–0	0.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Olivier Rodrigue

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 31
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.70
GSAx: +1.70

Trent Miner

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.65
GSAx: -0.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 11:01Penalty
2nd 6:10Penalty
2nd 6:10Penalty
2nd 7:39Jake Wise (1–0)low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
2nd 10:58Noah Philp (1–1)medium · wrist · 18 ft · beat Trent Miner
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 6:54Penalty
3rd 13:52Penalty
OT 4:00Daniel D’Amato (1–2)medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Trent Miner