AHLDashboard
Saturday, November 23

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
1:2
Final / OT
Providence Bruins

The sheet

LVPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
1.62.9
High danger
14
Chances
49
Shots
2327

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal27
4Scoring chances9
1High-danger chances4
1.58Expected goals2.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7811100.50.6
2nd81124030.61.1
3rd8713000.50.6
OT0101010.00.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.88
GSAx
+0.88
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
1.58
GSAx
+0.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:18Penalty
  • 1st 4:44Ethan Samson (1–0)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 7:38Penalty
  • 2nd 3:51Riley Tufte (1–1)high · 14 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 6:36Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 7:30Penalty
  • 3rd 16:26Penalty
  • 3rd 16:26Penalty
  • OT 0:55Georgii Merkulov (1–2)grade A · 11 ft · beat Parker Gahagen