Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders

4:1

Final

Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

73%27%

xG: 3.21.9
High danger: 42
Chances: 116
Shots: 3325

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal25

11Scoring chances6

4High-danger chances2

3.19Expected goals1.90

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–8	1–1	0–0	0.7–0.6
2nd	14–9	5–3	1–2	1.4–0.8
3rd	9–8	5–2	3–0	1.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HFD	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 29
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.19
GSAx: -0.81

Marcus Högberg

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 24
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.90
GSAx: +0.90

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:15Penalty
2nd 3:35Penalty
2nd 5:46Penalty
2nd 5:56Travis Mitchell (1–0)low · 25 ft · beat Louis Domingue
2nd 11:57Benoit-Olivier Groulx (1–1)high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
3rd 4:11Marc Gatcomb (2–1)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
3rd 18:16Liam Foudy (3–1)empty net · low · 72 ft · beat Louis Domingue
3rd 18:26Brian Pinho (4–1)medium · 32 ft · beat Louis Domingue